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Analytics and Market news

Thursday, 30 June 2016

Pre-market

ITT Investment group


Last closure
On Wednesday, June 29, trades in USA have come to the end with growth, as worries continued to ease over Britain's vote to leave the European Union. Personal spending, which measures how much Americans paid for everything from autos to airfare, increased 0.4% in May from a month earlier, the Commerce Department said on Wednesday. That followed a 1.1% jump in April, the sharpest rise in nearly seven years. The National Association of Realtors’ pending home sales index, which tracks contract signings for purchases of previously owned homes, decreased a seasonally adjusted 3.7% in May from the prior month, the trade group said Wednesday. Sales typically close within a month or two of signing. Economists had expected a more modest decline of 2.0%. Crude oil fell last week, continuing a recent trend of decreasing inventories, according to data released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Wednesday. U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 4.1 million barrels during the week of June 24, though inventories are still at historically high levels for this time of year. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 1.64%, S&P has increased by 1.70%, Nasdaq grew by 1.86%.
European stock exchanges closed with growth of main indexes recovering more of the declines triggered in the immediate aftermath of the UK's decision to leave the E.U. Germany's consumer price index rose by 0.3% last month, supported by more expensive energy and higher prices in the service sector. The inflation data were a preliminary flash estimate on the basis of reported consumer price data from six of Germany's 16 states, with final data to be published on July 12. On the day’s result, British FTSE rose by 3.58%, CAC 40 (France) grew by 1.75%, DAX (Germany) has increased by 1.86%.
July’s contractual price on Brent oil, decreased by $2.03 to $50.61 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened on neutral territory, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 0.05% to 658.35. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 2.3 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 5.9 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 11.9 million.
From five shares of an index basket, two have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Raiffeisen Bank Aval (+1.49%). Worse than market looked shares of Donbasenergo (-2.41%).
Ukraine's national budget deficit in May 2016 reached UAH 4.26 billion, while in April it was UAH 11.62 billion, and in March it was UAH 8.17 billion. Deficit of the general fund narrowed from UAH 10.68 billion in April and UAH 7.59 billion in March to UAH 3.85 billion in May.

Premarket
External background at the opening is neutral. Japan’s industrial production declined more than economists forecast as a drop in exports hit most of the country’s manufacturing sectors. Output declined 2.3% in May from April when it rose 0.5%. The median forecast of economists was for a 0.2% drop, and the slump was bigger than all but one of the estimates. The Asian indexes are growing today. Nikkei rose by 0.06%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 1.57%.
Futures on American indexes are decreasing today from 0.18% to 0.25%.
Russian indexes as of 10:02 EET are decreasing — MICEX decreasing by 0.18%, RTS lowers by 0.42%.

Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market on neutral territory.
In Europe will be published German unemployment change (10:00 EET), data on GDP in the U.K. (11:30 EET) and CPI in the E.U. (12:00 EET).
In the U.S. will be published initial jobless claims (15:30 EET) and Chicago PMI (16:45 EET).

ITT Investment group

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