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Analytics and Market news

Friday, 1 July 2016

Pre-market

ITT Investment group


Last closure
On Thursday, June 30, trades in USA have come to the end with growth, for a third day. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits increased 10,000 to a seasonally adjusted 268,000 for the week ended June 25, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Claims for the prior week were revised to show 1,000 fewer applications received than previously reported. A measure of Chicago-area economic activity surged in June on a big advance in the number of purchasing managers indicating improving production and new orders. MNI Indicators said Thursday the Chicago PMI rose to 56.8, a rise of 7.5 points to move the index comfortably above the 50 mark indicating improving conditions. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 1.33%, S&P has increased by 1.36%, Nasdaq grew by 1.33%.
European stock exchanges closed with growth of main indexes. Eurozone inflation moved back into positive territory in June, according to data released on Thursday, after the European Central Bank began taking new stimulus measures earlier this month. Consumer prices moved up 0.1 percent, from falling 0.1 percent in May, the EU statistics agency Eurostat said in a preliminary estimate. The British economy grew 0.4 percent during the first three months of the year. In a final GDP estimate, the ONS said annual GDP hit 2 percent, helping the UK economy rise 7 percent above its pre-crisis peak in the three months from January to March. Both figures were unrevised from an earlier forecast. On the day’s result, British FTSE rose by 2.27%, DAX (Germany) has increased by 0.71%, CAC 40 (France) grew by 1%.
Augusts’ contractual price on Brent oil, decreased by $0.93 to $49.68 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened by growth, day passed with positive dynamics. Value of the UX index has increased by 2.46% to 674.57. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 2.9 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 7.2 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 18.3 million.
From five shares of an index basket, five have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Worse than market looked shares of Ukrnafta (+3.71%). Growth of Ukraine's GDP in 2017 is expected to be 3%, and in 2018 and 2019 – 4% every year. According to the ministry, in 2017-2019 inflation would slow from 8.1% to 5.5% and 5.2% respectively.

Premarket
External background at the opening is neutral. China manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index, a survey that tracks the health of large and state-owned companies, came in at 50.0 last month, versus 50.1 logged in May and April. The report was bang in line with Reuters' estimates and marked the weakest result since February's 49.0 figure.
The Asian indexes are growing today. Nikkei rose by 0.47%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 1.75%.
Futures on American indexes are slightly decreasing today from 0.18% to 0.23%.
Russian indexes as of 10:02 EET are rising — MICEX increasing by 0.08%, RTS growing by 0.03%.

Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market on neutral territory.
In Europe will be published German manufacturing PMI (10:55 EET) and data on unemployment rate in the E.U. (12:00 EET).
In the U.S. will be published ISM manufacturing PMI (17:00 EET).

ITT Investment group

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