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Analytics and Market news

Monday, 15 August 2016

Pre-market

ITT Investment group



Last closure
On Friday, August 12, trades in USA have come to the end with mixed dynamics, after hitting record highs. The Nasdaq Composite Index closed Friday at its fourth high of the year, a day after all three major U.S. stock indexes notched records on the same day for the first time since 1999. U.S. crude oil extended its gains Friday, rising 2.3%, to $44.49 a barrel, one day after Saudi Arabia’s energy minister said the country would work with other oil producers to stabilize prices. While the official’s comment was interpreted by some to mean Saudi Arabia would support a production cap, many traders and analysts remained skeptical the country would limit its output. Retail sales in the US were unchanged from the previous month, down from a 0.6% increase in June and missing expectations for a 0.4% gain, the Commerce Department revealed. The University of Michigan’s consumer confidence index also missed forecasts. The preliminary reading for August came in at 90.4, up from 90 the previous month but below estimates for 91.5. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones has declined by 0.20%, S&P has lowered by 0.08%, Nasdaq grew by 0.09%.
European stock exchanges closed with mixed dynamics of main indexes, after weaker-than-expected U.S. retail sales. Eurozone economic growth halved, has expected, in the second-quarter as better-than-forecast expansion in Germany was balanced by a surprise stagnation in Italy. Eurostat's second estimate for GDP growth put the quarterly eurozone growth rate at 0.3% , down from 0.6% in the first quarter. The eurozone economy expanded by 1.6% year-on-year, after a 1.7% first-quarter uptick. The wider 28-nation EU, which includes the U.K., also expanded as expected, by 0.4% and 1.8%, respectively, on the quarter and on the year, compared with 0.5% and 1.8% growth, respectively, in the first quarter. On the day’s result, British FTSE rose by 0.02%, DAX (Germany) has lowered by 0.27%, CAC 40 (France) has decreased by 0.08%.
Augusts’ contractual price on Brent oil, grew by $0.93 to $46.97 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened by decrease, day passed with negative dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 0.47% to 693.03. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 1.4 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 8.3 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 14.6 million.
From five shares of an index basket, four retreated. Leaders of growth were shares of Centerenergo (+0.41%). Worse than market looked shares of Motor Sich (-1.57%) and Donbasenergo (-1.56%).

Premarket
External background at the opening is neutral.
The Asian indexes are showing mixed dynamics today. Nikkei has lowered by 0.30%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 0.76%.
Futures on American indexes are growing today from 0.16% to 0.18%.
Russian indexes as of 10:02 EET are rising — MICEX increasing by 0.05%, RTS growing by 0.86%.

Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market on neutral territory.
In Ukraine will be published current account balance (16:35 EET).
In the U.S. will be published TIC net long-term transactions (23:00 EET).

ITT Investment group

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