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Analytics and Market news

Monday, 14 November 2016

Ukraine Weekly Market Monitor

Eavex Capital

Kyiv-listed stocks finished mixed last week, mostly ignoring the volatility on global financial markets after the U.S. election. Four years of President Donald Trump in the White House, a once-unimaginable scenario, could launch a period of deep uncertainty about the policies of his administration regarding Russian military aggression against Ukraine. President Poroshenko has announced a possible visit to Washington in February to reach out to his new counterpart. However, the general consensus is that Ukraine will have less support from the US under a Trump presidency than under current President Obama.     

The UX index edged up 0.2% to close at 837 points on Friday (Nov 11). UkrNafta (UNAF) was the biggest loser among the five remaining stocks in the index basket. UNAF shares fell 4.1% to UAH 116 amid a negative move in oil price benchmarks. Motor Sich (MSICH) was unchanged at UAH 1909, while Raiffeisen Bank Aval (BAVL) remained in an upward trend, adding 2.0% to 13.4 kopecks.

London-listed Ferrexpo (FXPO) rebounded by 10% to GBp 111 after two weeks of decline. We see mostly technical reasons for the rebound, as GBp 100 line has become a strong support level for the stock from the chart point of view. MHP (MHPC) once again failed to reach the USD 10 mark, slipping back 3.5% to USD 9.05. Warsaw-listed Astarta (AST) gained 2.5% to close at PLN 51.35 after the company reported solid financial results for 9M16.  

The hryvnia slipped 0.4% against the dollar, closing at 25.65 UAH/USD, although the cash market rate for the dollar, which usually front-runs the interbank market, slumped 4.5% to 26.50 UAH/USD on concerns about the unexpected US election result. News that the NBU’s forex reserves were flat at USD 15.5bn in October had a limited impact on the interbank market.

POLITICS AND ECONOMICS

-  Saakashvili Boosted by Trump Win, Demands Early Nat’l Election

-  Trump Appoints Priebus as Chief of Staff After Upset Win over Clinton

-  Headline Inflation Rises to 12% in October on Utility Tariff Hike

STOCKS IN THE NEWS

-  Astarta’s EBITDA Up 19% YoY to EUR 129mn in 9M16


full report

Eavex Capital welcomes any questions or comments you may have regarding our research products.
Please contact our office in Kyiv at 380-44-590-5454, or by email:

Alexander Klymchuk, Head of Sales, [email protected]
Dmitry Churin, Head of Research, [email protected]




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