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Analytics and Market news

Monday, 19 May 2025

Ukraine Weekly Market Monitor

Eavex Capital

Ukrainian Agro Stocks Diverge as Astarta Swings, Kernel Puts M&A on Ice

Shares of Ukrainian agricultural companies showed a wide range of performance last week, with Astarta emerging as the most volatile. The stock rallied to a local high of PLN 66.00 before retreating to PLN 61.50, implying a market capitalization of USD 393mn.

A key corporate development came from Kernel, which had considered acquiring a controlling stake in fellow Ukrainian-listed peer IMC. Although the company secured antitrust clearance for the transaction, both sides said talks have been put on hold. IMC shares have surged 90% year-to-date on the Warsaw Stock Exchange and last traded at PLN 30.60, valuing the company at USD 284mn.

IMC reported a net profit of USD 54.5mn for 2024, driven by a 52% jump in revenue to USD 211mn. The company operates a land bank of 120,000 hectares across Chernihiv, Sumy, and Poltava regions, growing corn, wheat, and sunflower.

Kernel’s shares edged up 1.5% over the week to PLN 19.70, translating to a USD 1.51bn market cap. Meanwhile, MHP (MHPC) declined 3.3% to USD 5.24 per share, with a capitalization of USD 561mn.

Iron ore miner Ferrexpo (FXPO) advanced by 5.0% last week to close at GBp 65.20 (Mcap of USD 519mn). The benchmark iron ore price has decreased by 3.4% since the start of the year to USD 100 per tonne. The FXPO stock dropped by 42% YTD as the company suffered from controversial legal disputes with tax authorities. The global iron ore market remains under pressure amid weakening demand from China, which accounts for over 70% of seaborne imports. Sluggish property sector activity and a slower-than-expected rebound in infrastructure spending have dampened steel production, weighing on ore prices.

POLITICS AND ECONOMICS

- New US Sanctions on Russian Oil Loom Ahead of Trump-Putin Call

- Ukraine Inflation Accelerates to 15.1% in April on Weather-Hit Harvest Outlook


full report


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Please contact us by email:

Dmitry Churin, Head of Research, [email protected]




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